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<b><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#CC0000">Daily News<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
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<b><span style="font-size:22.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#333333">House Republican Doubts TPP Vote In 2016; Connolly Sees Lame-Duck Window<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black">Posted: December 02, 2015<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black">The conservative House Republican who chairs the House Foreign Affairs subcommittee on Asia and the Pacific on Wednesday
 (Dec. 2) said Congress will not likely vote on the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) deal next year, even during the lame-duck session, and implored the administration to tamp down expectations among other TPP partners for quick congressional approval.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black">During a hearing on Capitol Hill, and in subsequent comments to reporters, Subcommittee Chairman Matt Salmon (R-AZ) said
 the political realities of the election year and the fact that leading Republican and Democratic presidential candidates have expressed opposition to the TPP deal make a congressional vote in the spring or summer of 2016 unlikely.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black">"Typically, in the past, real heavy lifting bills don't pass during an election year. And this is a really heavy lifting
 bill," Salmon, a roughly 10-year veteran lawmaker and one of the members of the conservative House Freedom Caucus who supported renewal of Trade Promotion Authority (TPA) in June, told <i><span style="border:none windowtext 1.0pt;padding:0in">Inside U.S. Trade</span></i>.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black">Salmon also argued that pushing the deal through during the lame duck -- with a Congress and administration he said would
 not be accountable -- would be a bad strategy that could sour public and lawmaker opinion on future trade deals like the one being negotiated with the EU, but said he had not directly spoken to House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-WI) about the timing of the TPP vote.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black">"I would not support [TPP] in a lame duck. I would support it right after we have a new president because I think it's
 such a cop-out to pass tough stuff [when] people won't face the voters again," he said. "I think that being 'too-cute-by-half' is what causes people to oppose the next trade agreement. And we shouldn't just be thinking about the here and now."<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black">He made specific reference to the fact that the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) is also still being
 negotiated. Salmon is a member of the Congressional TTIP Caucus.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black">In comments to reporters after the hearing, Rep. Gerry Connolly (D-VA), who serves on the subcommittee and has been one
 of the most ardent Democratic supporters of TPA and TPP, disagreed with Salmon about the chances of a lame-duck vote on TPP. But he also urged the Obama administration to face up to the reality that the lame duck is its only chance to have Congress pass TPP
 before the president leaves office.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black">Salmon and Connolly both told Assistant U.S. Trade Representative Bruce Hirsh, who testified at the hearing, that the
 Obama administration needs to come up with a strategy to reassure other TPP nations that the delay in securing approval of the agreement does not mean it will never happen.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black">When asked whether USTR was already doing any of this work, Hirsh responded that the administration at the moment was
 focused on educating members of Congress on the agreement with the belief that support would materialize.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black">Salmon retorted that while it was "great to be optimistic," it was prudent for the administration to have a "Plan B."<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black">Similarly, Connolly signaled that the timing of the TPP vote will not be determined by the substance of what is in the
 TPP agreement, but by political considerations.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black">"Mr. Hirsh, I wish we lived in a world of pure reason and rational actors, but I don't think the dynamic for approval
 of this agreement is simply a matter of more information, 'the more people know, the more we'll come to love it,'" Connolly said. "I wish that were true, but I don't think it is."<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:12.6pt;background:white"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black">The subcommittee hearing was on U.S. strategic interests and the East Asia Summit and Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation
 (APEC) forum, both of which took place last month.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family:"Bell MT","serif"">Michael F. Dolan, J.D.<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Bell MT","serif"">Legislative Representative<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Bell MT","serif"">International Brotherhood of Teamsters<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Bell MT","serif"">Desk  202.624.6891<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Bell MT","serif"">Fax    202.624.8973<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Bell MT","serif"">Cell    202.437.2254<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
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