<html><head><meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html charset=utf-8"></head><body style="word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space;" class=""><i class="">A few on TPP in the elections below…</i><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><div class="WordSection1" style="page: WordSection1;"><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif;" class=""><span style="font-size: 14pt; font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;" class="">POLITICO Morning Trade<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><p style="margin-right: 0in; margin-left: 0in; font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif;" class=""><a name="top" class=""></a>By Adam Behsudi | 02/01/2016 05:56 AM EDT<o:p class=""></o:p></p><p style="margin-right: 0in; margin-left: 0in; font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif;" class=""><i class="">With help from Doug Palmer and Jason Huffman</i><o:p class=""></o:p></p><p style="margin-right: 0in; margin-left: 0in; font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif;" class=""><b class="">TRUMP KEEPS UP ATTACK ON TPP HEADING INTO IOWA CAUCUS: </b>Donald Trump continued to express contempt for the Trans Pacific Partnership over the weekend, telling Breitbart News that he is the country's best hope for stopping the administration's trade agenda, which he also laid at the feet of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.<o:p class=""></o:p></p><p style="margin-right: 0in; margin-left: 0in; font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif;" class="">"Our leaders have negotiated terrible deals that are bleeding this country dry," Trump reportedly said in an exclusive statement to the conservative news service just days before the Iowa caucus. "The TPP is another terrible one-sided deal that rewards offshoring and enriches other countries at our expense. I will stop Hillary's Obamatrade in its tracks, bringing millions of new voters into the Republican Party. We will move manufacturing jobs back to the United States and we will make America great again." Read the Breitbart News article here: <a href="http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=5cd3e90f18879243aa0ed3908e4bf940997e9fd1dc776821527153217060354f" target="_blank" style="color: purple;" class="">http://bit.ly/1P6zFY4</a><o:p class=""></o:p></p><p style="margin-right: 0in; margin-left: 0in; font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif;" class=""><b class="">TRUMP POSITION IS CONSISTENT: </b>Even though he is a self-proclaimed "free trader," the New York magnate's anti-TPP statements are consistent with his position that previous administrations have botched trade negotiations ranging as far back as the North American Free Trade Agreement. He also told the New York Times editorial board in January that he would impose a 45 percent tariff against China to address a trade imbalance with the massive Asian economy. His most recent proposal is actually an increase from the 25 percent tariff he proposed in 2011.<o:p class=""></o:p></p><p style="margin-right: 0in; margin-left: 0in; font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif;" class="">"He's basically taxing poor people, and right there I don't like it," said Derek Scissors, a China expert at the American Enterprise Institute, commenting on how the additional tax would only increase the price consumers pay for cheap goods that come from China. Trump's reaction to the fact that China is not a good trading partner is correct, Scissors said, but "his response doesn't make sense."<o:p class=""></o:p></p><p style="margin-right: 0in; margin-left: 0in; font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif;" class="">Despite Trump's tough-on-China stance, Scissors said the millionaire's proposal to tax China "is way to the protectionist side for someone who says he is Republican." But with his rise in the polls, Scissors said Trump's policies could be striking a chord with members of the Republican party who may want to see a tougher response to China's trade practices. Trump's position "is out of whack with the Republican party four years ago," he said. "The question is how far out of whack is it with the Republican Party now?"<o:p class=""></o:p></p><p style="margin-right: 0in; margin-left: 0in; font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif;" class=""><b class="">SANDERS BAITS CLINTON: </b>But Donald Trump isn't the only one taking shots at Hillary Clinton's connections to the TPP. "What's her position on this bad trade deal today?" Sen. Bernie Sanders' spokesman Michael Briggs said in a statement issued late last week. "It's hard to keep track of Secretary Clinton's shifting stands on the trade agreement that would help multi-national corporations ship more decent-paying jobs from the United States to low-wage nations overseas."<o:p class=""></o:p></p><p style="margin-right: 0in; margin-left: 0in; font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif;" class="">Clinton in October said she didn't like the trade deal based on what she knew of it. Sanders' campaign made clear the Vermont lawmaker is opposed to the TPP.<o:p class=""></o:p></p><p style="margin-right: 0in; margin-left: 0in; font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif;" class="">"You are looking at a senator and former congressman who has led the effort since his first day in Congress back in the early 1990s against disastrous trade agreements like NAFTA, CAFTA, PNTR with China and today against the TPP," Sanders told reporters after an event in Iowa last month. "My record on trade is very, very different than Secretary Clinton's."<o:p class=""></o:p></p><p style="margin-right: 0in; margin-left: 0in; font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif;" class="">The most recent Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics poll, published Sunday, had Trump leading the Republican race, besting Sen. Ted Cruz by 5 percentage points. Clinton and Sanders were running at 45 and 42 percent respectively. See it here: <a href="http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=5cd3e90f18879243c3a8c50ff9e2ea0f284facbbd0144d1d06f12d904316e529" target="_blank" style="color: purple;" class="">http://politi.co/1OZCI6F</a>.<o:p class=""></o:p></p><p style="margin-right: 0in; margin-left: 0in; font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif;" class=""><b class="">FROMAN ALL SET TO SIGN TPP: </b>Obama issued a memorandum Friday empowering U.S. Trade Representative Michael Froman to sign the Trans-Pacific Partnership this week, in Auckland, New Zealand. Froman will stop in Beijing for meetings with Chinese officials before traveling to New Zealand for the signing ceremony, according to a schedule released by his office. The signing is expected to take place Thursday morning in New Zealand, which will be Wednesday evening in Washington.<o:p class=""></o:p></p><p style="margin-right: 0in; margin-left: 0in; font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif;" class="">Froman will also hold bilateral meetings through Saturday with other TPP trade ministers before returning to the United States, providing a potential opportunity to discuss concerns that senior Republicans have raised about parts of the pact.<o:p class=""></o:p></p><p style="margin-right: 0in; margin-left: 0in; font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif;" class=""><b class="">DUELING TPP STUDIES: </b>Tufts University will release a study today on the TPP, in which it predicts the deal will result in a net loss of income in the U.S., worsening income inequality and a significant net job loss. The Peterson Institute, which released its own TPP study projecting income gains, didn't miss a chance to try to refute the Tufts study, which claims to use "a more realistic model that incorporates effects on employment excluded from prior TPP modeling."<o:p class=""></o:p></p><p style="margin-right: 0in; margin-left: 0in; font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif;" class="">"To decide which of these studies is more credible, three questions should be asked: First, is the model that is used appropriate for exploring trade policy? Second, has the TPP been depicted in that model in a sensible way? And third, are the results of the model credible?" Peterson scholar Robert Lawrence wrote in a blog post Friday.<o:p class=""></o:p></p><p style="margin-right: 0in; margin-left: 0in; font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif;" class="">"I argue not only that the [Peterson] model is superior on all counts but also that whatever the merits of the model used by [Tufts], it is simply not suited for credibly predicting the effects of the TPP," he added. Read Lawrence's post here: <a href="http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=5cd3e90f188792435b563c383a4013a0c7407dd6ffaefd13bbfd147ba191ce1e" target="_blank" style="color: purple;" class="">http://bit.ly/1UAuyD4 </a>and the Tufts study here: <a href="http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=5cd3e90f18879243413f8a1a41ea2ff69c7e9758cb8f70a76b4c61c7a278c105" target="_blank" style="color: purple;" class="">http://bit.ly/1WVf6mC</a>.<o:p class=""></o:p></p><p style="margin-right: 0in; margin-left: 0in; font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif;" class=""><b class="">INTERNATIONAL OVERNIGHT</b><o:p class=""></o:p></p><p style="margin-right: 0in; margin-left: 0in; font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif;" class="">Rep. Ami Bera fails to secure the endorsement of his regional Democratic party because of his votes on trade and other issues, the Sacramento Bee reports: <a href="http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=5cd3e90f188792438673f7d9fac274502b90f9391a3cb93040348c48dff8d9db" target="_blank" style="color: purple;" class="">http://bit.ly/1Q5oLlm</a><o:p class=""></o:p></p><p style="margin-right: 0in; margin-left: 0in; font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif;" class="">Public support for Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is holding up despite the resignation of Akira Amari, Bloomberg reports:<a href="http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=5cd3e90f18879243c1e752bd70fc9e84b3e624f79317247755b8e8d6bfcd6299" target="_blank" style="color: purple;" class="">http://bloom.bg/1nyipUj</a></p><div class="">=======</div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/30/business/donald-trump-unions.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=a-lede-package-region®ion=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=0" class="">http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/30/business/donald-trump-unions.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=a-lede-package-region®ion=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=0</a></div><div class="">
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<div class="column"><p class=""><span style="font-size: 29.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">Unions Lean Democratic, but Donald
Trump Gets Members’ Attention
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 10.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; font-weight: 700; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">By NOAM SCHEIBER </span><span style="font-size: 10.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">JAN. 29, 2016
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">WASHINGTON — Of all the voters who might be expected to resist the charms of
</span><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'" class="">Donald J. Trump</span><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">, the two million members of the </span><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'" class="">Service Employees International
Union </span><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">would most likely be near the top of the list.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">The union, which </span><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'" class="">endorsed Hillary Clinton in November</span><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">, is widely regarded as
one of the more progressive in the labor movement. It skews female and racially
diverse — roughly the opposite of a Trump rally, in other words.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">But the union’s president, Mary Kay Henry, acknowledged that Mr. Trump
holds appeal even for some of her members. “There is deep economic anxiety
among our members and the people we’re trying to organize that I believe </span><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'" class="">Donald
Trump</span><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">’s message is tapping into,” Ms. Henry said.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">In expressing her concern, Ms. Henry reflected a different form of anxiety that
is weighing on some union leaders and Democratic operatives: their fear that Mr.
Trump, if not effectively countered, may draw an unusually large number of union
voters in a possible general election matchup. This could, in turn, bolster
Republicans in swing states like Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, all
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<div class="column"><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">of which President Obama won twice.
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<div class="column"><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">The source of the attraction to Mr. Trump, say union members and leaders, is
manifold: the candidate’s unapologetically populist positions on certain economic
issues, particularly trade; a frustration with the impotence of conventional
politicians; and above all, a sense that he rejects the norms of Washington
discourse.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">“They feel he’s the one guy who’s saying what’s on people’s minds,” Thomas
Hanify, the president of the Indiana state firefighters union, said of his rank and
file.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">Mr. Hanify said that Mr. Trump has so far dominated the “firehouse chatter”
in his state. While he allowed that his members tilt Republican, he estimated that
most followed the lead of the union’s international leadership and supported Mr.
Obama in 2008 and 2012.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">Ms. Henry and other labor leaders remain confident that they can keep their
members in the fold by making a case that the Republicans’ economic agenda,
including Mr. Trump’s, runs counter to the interests of working people. But they
also see Mr. Trump as posing particular risks.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">“Anyone who talks about dividing people in the country as a solution is a
threat to the country, to democracy, the economy, and to working people, and we
take every one of those seriously,” said Richard L. Trumka, the president of the
</span><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'" class="">A.F.L.-C.I.O.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">The potential pairing of Mr. Trump and union members could be helped along
by a sense that Mr. Trump, unlike more conventional Republicans, has historically
enjoyed a cordial relationship with labor on many of his real estate projects.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">“He has put his fair share into hiring union people,” said Richard Sabato, the
president of a building and construction trades council in northern New Jersey.
“He’s done that in Manhattan, in New Jersey.”
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">But that is not always the case. The owners of </span><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'" class="">Trump International Hotel Las
Vegas </span><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">filed objections to a recent vote by roughly 500 of its workers to unionize,
and the National Labor Relations Board has found merit to the claims that the
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<div class="column"><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">hotel violated workers’ labor rights. (The Trump campaign did not respond to
requests for comment.)
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">Mr. Sabato said that his members, who lean Republican but in many cases
voted for Mr. Obama, would “march behind” Mr. Trump on the issue of illegal
immigration.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">Even more important for many union members has been the issue of economic
globalization. Mr. Trump </span><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'" class="">has railed against the Trans-Pacific Partnership</span><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">, the 12-
country trade deal the administration finished negotiating last year. And he has
bemoaned the administration’s failure to stand up to what he and many union
members see as China’s mercantilist policies.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">He has also fulminated against plans by the company that owns Nabisco to
shift some production to Mexico — “I love Oreos,” he said, “I will never eat them
again” — and vowed to impose a punishing tariff on imports of Ford cars unless the
company canceled a $2.5 billion investment in plants in that country.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">“We like that he does not support TPP, that he has taken the position that
there should be trade tariffs for a company that moves jobs overseas,” said Ryan
Leenders, 30, a member of the International Association of Machinists in
Washington State. Mr. Leenders, who estimated that one-quarter to one-third of
his factory’s union workers were Trump supporters, said he voted for Mr. Obama
in 2008 and wrote in Ron Paul in 2012.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">Reflecting the anti-establishment mood that has engulfed parts of the labor
movement, Mr. Leenders said he believed that more than half of his union’s
workers support Senator Bernie Sanders, while very few support Mrs. Clinton,
despite the fact that the machinists union endorsed her last summer. (A machinists
spokesman said that, “At this point, any estimates of support for a candidate are
more a passing snapshot of popularity.”)
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">Many union officials are grappling with a similar dynamic, including the
Teamsters, whose members have a </span><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'" class="">“Teamsters for Trump” Facebook page</span><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">, with
more than 650 likes.
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<div class="column"><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">John Bulgaro, the president of Teamsters Local 294 in Albany, said that Mr.
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<div class="column"><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">Trump had generated excitement among his members, but that “a lot of people like
Bernie Sanders.” He cautioned that they would need to hear more about Mr.
Trump’s position on labor rights.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">To be sure, polling of union voters shows that Mrs. Clinton remains broadly
popular and would carry most Sanders supporters in a matchup against Mr.
Trump. But the same polling suggests that Mr. Trump could perform unusually
well among these voters for a Republican nominee.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">Christopher M. Shelton, the president of the Communications Workers of
America, which </span><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'" class="">endorsed Mr. Sanders in December</span><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">, said that while polling of his
members showed Mr. Trump’s support lagging far behind support for Mr. Sanders
and Mrs. Clinton, it was higher than Republican presidential candidates typically
net.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">Despite Mr. Trump’s appeal, particularly among white working-class men,
longtime labor officials and political operatives point out that Mr. Trump’s
popularity before a single primary vote has been cast is a vastly different
proposition than whether he would be able to retain that support in the fall.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">“In every election around this time there are stories suggesting that union
members will defect — ‘Oh, white union men won’t vote for Obama,’” Steve
Rosenthal, a former political director of the </span><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'" class="">A.F.L.-C.I.O. </span><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">and progressive political
organizer, wrote in an email response to questions.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">In the end, Mr. Rosenthal said, union voters almost always end up voting
overwhelmingly Democratic in presidential elections. White male union members
favored Mr. Obama in 2008, and John Kerry in 2004, by roughly 20 percentage
points, according to polling commissioned by the A.F.L.-C.I.O., even as white men
over all favored the Republican candidate by a large margin.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">Mr. Rosenthal said that unions have proved adept at building support among
their members for Democratic nominees who generally embrace their economic
agenda and at undermining support for Republicans.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">In a recent study of working-class voters in Ohio and Pennsylvania based on
over 1,500 interviews, </span><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'" class="">Working America</span><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">, a labor-affiliated group, found genuine
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<div class="column"><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">support for Mr. Trump among Democrats. But Matt Morrison, the group’s deputy
director, said that many Trump supporters were receptive to information that
suggested a gap between the candidate’s words and deeds.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">“Just delivering a little bit of new information, we could see that his brand
takes a hit,” Mr. Morrison said, referring to reports that Mr. Trump may have used
undocumented workers on some of his development projects.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">Other experts cautioned that even if Mr. Trump were to retain substantial
support among white male union members without college degrees, that would not
necessarily yield him an electoral advantage in November if he became the
Republican nominee.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">The voters whom labor unions must typically work the hardest to turn out, like
younger voters and Latinos, “are groups that will be highly motivated” against Mr.
Trump, said Guy Molyneux, a pollster who has surveyed union voters extensively
over the years.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">Mr. Molyneux also said that many of the union voters attracted by Mr. Trump
were among the 30 percent of union voters who already vote reliably Republican.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">Still, unlike most other Republicans, whose appeal to union voters rarely
extends beyond cultural issues like gun rights, Mr. Trump’s economic
pronouncements have a greater potential to scramble the standard political
calculus.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 14.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">“I do think that Trump is a threat,” said Mike Lux, a progressive activist who is
a former labor official and veteran of President Bill Clinton’s administration. “If the
Democratic nominee is Hillary, and she’s mushy at all on the trade issue, Trump
will take that issue and drive it and drive it and drive it.”
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 13.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; font-style: italic; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">Find out what you need to know about the </span><span style="font-size: 13.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; font-style: italic" class="">2016 presidential race </span><span style="font-size: 13.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; font-style: italic; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">today, and get
politics news updates via</span><span style="font-size: 13.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; font-style: italic" class="">Facebook</span><span style="font-size: 13.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; font-style: italic; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">, </span><span style="font-size: 13.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; font-style: italic" class="">Twitter </span><span style="font-size: 13.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; font-style: italic; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">and </span><span style="font-size: 13.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; font-style: italic" class="">the First Draft newsletter</span><span style="font-size: 13.000000pt; font-family: 'Georgia'; font-style: italic; color: rgb(20.000000%, 20.000000%, 20.000000%)" class="">.
</span></p><p class=""><span style="font-size: 10.000000pt; font-family: 'ArialMT'; color: rgb(27.058820%, 27.058820%, 27.058820%)" class="">A version of this article appears in print on January 30, 2016, on page A1 of the New York edition with the
headline: Unions’ Leaders Wary of Trump. </span></p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div></div><div class="">========</div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><a href="http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/1/28/1476527/-Chamber-of-Commerce-Lobbyist-Tom-Donohue-Clinton-Will-Support-TPP-After-Election" class="">http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/1/28/1476527/-Chamber-of-Commerce-Lobbyist-Tom-Donohue-Clinton-Will-Support-TPP-After-Election</a></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><div class="row" style="box-sizing: border-box; margin-left: -15px; margin-right: -15px; color: rgb(60, 55, 54); font-family: 'Open Sans'; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.125px;"><div class="col-sm-12" style="box-sizing: border-box; position: relative; min-height: 1px; padding-left: 15px; padding-right: 15px; float: left; width: 850px;"><div class="story-title heading" style="box-sizing: border-box; border-top-width: 0px; padding-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 25px; font-family: 'Open Sans Condensed'; cursor: default; font-size: 3.2em; line-height: 1em;"><a href="http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/1/28/1476527/-Chamber-of-Commerce-Lobbyist-Tom-Donohue-Clinton-Will-Support-TPP-After-Election" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(60, 55, 54); text-decoration: none; cursor: pointer;" class="">Chamber of Commerce Lobbyist Tom Donohue: Clinton Will Support TPP After Election</a><i style="box-sizing: border-box;" class=""></i><i style="box-sizing: border-box;" class=""></i></div></div></div><div class="row row-story-byline" style="box-sizing: border-box; margin-left: -15px; margin-right: -15px; margin-bottom: 20px; color: rgb(60, 55, 54); font-family: 'Open Sans'; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.125px;"><div class="col-sm-7 col-lg-6 col-md-8" style="box-sizing: border-box; position: relative; min-height: 1px; padding-left: 15px; padding-right: 15px; float: left; width: 425px;"><div class="story-info" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><div class="story-byline pull-left" style="box-sizing: border-box; float: left !important;"><div class="pull-left author-avatar" style="box-sizing: border-box; float: left !important;"><img class="avatar" style="box-sizing: border-box; border: 0px; vertical-align: middle; max-height: 40px; max-width: 40px; border-top-left-radius: 0px; border-top-right-radius: 0px; border-bottom-right-radius: 0px; border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;" apple-inline="yes" id="D45DDF27-8891-4863-B638-5394B8C37C4D" height="115" width="115" apple-width="yes" apple-height="yes" src="cid:1AF99EFA-4D68-4602-BB55-D3DC7332A3C0"></div><div class="byline-inner pull-left" style="box-sizing: border-box; float: left !important; padding-left: 20px;"><div class="name-heading author-byline" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: 'Open Sans Condensed'; color: rgb(234, 113, 6); font-size: 1.15em; cursor: default;"><span class="author-name" data-placement="right" data-toggle="mini-profile" data-user-id="114326" data-original-title="" title="" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: bold;"><a href="http://www.dailykos.com/user/Robert%20Naiman" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(234, 113, 6); text-decoration: none; cursor: pointer;" class="">By Robert Naiman</a> </span> </div><div class="author-date hidden-sm" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 0.85em; letter-spacing: 0.2px;"><span class=" timestamp" data-localize-time="" data-epoch-time="1454024728000" data-time-zone="-0500" data-time-format="%A %b %d, %Y" style="box-sizing: border-box;">Thursday Jan 28, 2016</span> <span class="time-dot" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 7px; margin-left: 2px; margin-right: 2px; position: relative; top: -1px;">·</span> <span class=" timestamp" data-localize-time="" data-epoch-time="1454024728000" data-time-zone="-0500" data-time-format="%l:%M %p %Z" style="box-sizing: border-box;">6:45 PM EST</span></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 10px; color: rgb(60, 55, 54); font-family: 'Open Sans'; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.125px;" class="">In an interview from Davos with <em style="box-sizing: border-box;" class="">Bloomberg TV</em> on January 20, Chamber of Commerce President Tom Donohue, a top lobbyist for the pro-corporate-power Trans-Pacific Partnership [TPP] agreement, assured viewers that if Hillary Clinton wins the Presidential election, <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2016-01-20/will-the-trans-pacific-partnership-deal-survive-" target="_hplink" title="" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(180, 63, 9); text-decoration: none;" class="">Clinton will support the TPP</a>, even though she opposes it now.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 10px; color: rgb(60, 55, 54); font-family: 'Open Sans'; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.125px;" class="">Reporting on the interview, <em style="box-sizing: border-box;" class="">Inside U.S. Trade</em> <a href="http://wtonewsstand.com/content/white-house-calls-business-tpp-meeting-donohue-sees-lame-duck-vote" target="_hplink" title="" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(180, 63, 9); text-decoration: none;" class="">noted</a>:</p><blockquote style="box-sizing: border-box; padding: 30px 60px; margin: 20px 0px; font-size: 16px; border: 0px; width: 660px; line-height: 24px; background-color: rgb(247, 247, 247); z-index: -1; color: rgb(60, 55, 54); font-family: 'Open Sans'; letter-spacing: 0.125px;" class=""><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 10px 0px 0px;" class="">The Chamber president said he expected Hillary Clinton would ultimately support the TPP if she becomes the Democratic nominee for president and is elected. He argued that she has publicly opposed the deal chiefly because her main challenger, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), has also done so. "If she were to get nominated, if she were to be elected, I have a hunch that what runs in the family is you get a little practical if you ever get the job," he said.</p></blockquote><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 10px; color: rgb(60, 55, 54); font-family: 'Open Sans'; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.125px;" class="">Donohue also said TPP will not be voted on prior to the election because Senate Republicans do not want to do anything that could jeopardize Republican Senators in close races. But he said he believed there was a 75 percent chance that TPP would get done in the lame-duck session after the election.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 10px; color: rgb(60, 55, 54); font-family: 'Open Sans'; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.125px;" class="">In 2012, Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney was <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/03/22/us/politics/etch-a-sketch-remark-a-rare-misstep-for-romney-adviser.html" target="_hplink" title="" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(180, 63, 9); text-decoration: none;" class="">pilloried</a> when a senior campaign adviser suggested that Romney would "hit a reset button" after the primary was over. "It's almost like an Etch A Sketch. You can kind of shake it up, and we start all over again."</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 10px; color: rgb(60, 55, 54); font-family: 'Open Sans'; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.125px;" class="">But now TPP lobbyist Tom Donohue is saying there's going to be an "Etch a Sketch" on the TPP after the general election in November.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 10px; color: rgb(60, 55, 54); font-family: 'Open Sans'; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.125px;" class="">Don't voters have the right to know now what Democratic and Republican politicians will do on the TPP after the election, yes or no? If you agree, you can tell your representatives in Congress so <a href="http://www.justforeignpolicy.org/act/tpp-no-post-election-etch-a-sketch" target="_hplink" title="" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(180, 63, 9); text-decoration: none;" class="">here</a>.</p></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div></div></div></body></html>