<html><head><meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html charset=utf-8"></head><body style="word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space;" class=""><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><b class=""><span style="font-size: 40pt; font-family: 'TimesNewRomanPSMT,Bold', serif;" class="">Washington Trade Daily<o:p class=""></o:p></span></b></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: TimesNewRomanPSMT, serif;" class="">Volume 26, Number 145 Friday, July 21, 2017<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><b class=""><i class=""><span style="font-family: 'ArialMT,BoldItalic', sans-serif;" class=""> </span></i></b></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><b class=""><i class=""><span style="font-size: 24pt; font-family: 'ArialMT,BoldItalic', sans-serif;" class="">Finish NAFTA By End of Year<o:p class=""></o:p></span></i></b></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">Renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement needs to be done by the end of the<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">year in order to quell the business uncertainty that is already causing lost sales and investment, the<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">ambassadors of Canada and Mexico said yesterday (WTD, 7/20/17).<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class=""> </span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">Meeting that time line will be a challenge, especially given the comprehensiveness of the US<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">goals for a new NAFTA released Monday, Canadian Ambassador David MacNaughton acknowledged.<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">But the ambassador said he believes a year-end deal is possible because all three countries<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">understand that the uncertainty over the future of NAFTA is causing companies and investors to hesitate<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">about making business decisions.<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class=""> </span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">Investment decisions throughout North America have been postponed because of the uncertainty<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">about NAFTA – and that is not good at a time when all three countries are trying to create more highpaying<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">jobs, Mexican Ambassador Geronimo Gutierrez added. For Mexico’s part, it also is important to<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">conclude the talks before they bleed into next year’s Presidential elections, he said.<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class=""> </span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">The two ambassadors spoke at a program sponsored by the Washington International Trade<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">Association.<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class=""> </span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">Press reports from Mexico Wednesday said the three countries have agreed to hold seven rounds<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">of negotiations by the end of this year. But Mr. Gutierrez told reporters that officials are still in the<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">process of refining a schedule. “All we know at this point is that the negotiations will start on<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">August 16,” he said.<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class=""> </span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">The US Trade Representative’s office announced Wednesday that the first round of talks will be<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">held August 16 to 20 in Washington.<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class=""> </span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">Asked about the year-end goal, USTR Robert Lighthizer’s spokeswoman pointed to his<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">testimony last month before the Senate Finance Committee where he said there is no deadline as far as<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">the Administration is concerned. “We’re going to do it as quickly as we can, but without any artificial<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">deadline of the end of this year,” he said.<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class=""> </span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">TPP – A Head Start<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class=""> </span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">Helping the negotiations along will be the fact that the three countries already agreed to many<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">issues in the TransPacific Partnership, Ambassador MacNaughton said. Negotiators also could turn to<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">other existing trade deals – like Canada’s FTA with the European Union – for text. Mexico’s<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">Ambassador cautioned, however, that while the TPP is a good reference point for discussion, the<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">concessions in the agreement were based on gaining market access to 12 countries and will not<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">necessarily translate into a trilateral deal.<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class=""> </span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">Both ambassadors said they have concerns about the Trump Administration’s decision to make<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">reducing the US trade deficit a key negotiating objective. That objective really is aimed at Mexico,<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">which has a goods trade surplus with the United States. But Washington has surpluses in services and<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">tourism, Mr. Gutierrez noted.<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class=""> </span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">If the United States wants to talk about trade deficits, Ottawa would be happy to hear how<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">Washington intends to reduce its trade surplus with Canada, Ambassador MacNaughton joked.<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class=""> </span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">Canada does have some concerns about the Administration’s proposal to eliminate NAFTA’s<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">Chapter 19 dispute settlement mechanism for dealing with trade remedy decisions, the Canadian<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">ambassador said. It is certainly possible to improve Chapter 19, but Canada believes some form of<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">dispute settlement for antidumping and countervailing duty cases is warranted.<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class=""> </span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">A new NAFTA needs to be a “win-win-win” for all three countries, Mr. MacNaughton said. But<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">given the importance President Trump put on making trade fairer for the United States in the campaign,<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">Canada and Mexico will have to help the President sell NAFTA to his political base. “We have to find<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">ways where he can declare victory without it being seen in either Mexico or Canada as being a loss,” he<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">said.<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class=""> </span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">Many do not realize how close President Trump came to actually pulling the United States out of<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">NAFTA earlier this year, Ambassador Guitierrez stated. That risk still exists if Mr. Trump is not happy.<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class=""> </span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">But Mexico would not be willing to come to the negotiating table if it felt Washington is holding the<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-family: CalistoMT, serif;" class="">threat of withdrawal over its head, he said.</span><span style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif;" class=""><o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; font-size: 11pt; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;" class=""><span style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif;" class=""> </span></div></body></html>